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Saudi non-oil economy emerges real estate’s next growth engine, says CBRE

The Kingdom’s property sector is benefiting from a sustained investment environment, with multiple projects progressing through execution stages

A combination of tailwinds like robust non-oil economic growth, ongoing regulatory reform, and a substantial pipeline of infrastructure and real estate projects kept Saudi Arabia among one of the world’s most active real estate development markets, said CBRE, a global leader in commercial real estate.

“While global economic uncertainty and regional geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on certain sectors, the Kingdom’s long-term development agenda remains firmly on track,” stated CBRE in its “Saudi Arabia Real Estate Market Review” for the second quarter of 2026.

“Non-oil economic activities expanded by 2.9% year-on-year in Q1 2026, helping drive overall GDP growth of 3%, while government capital expenditure continues to support the delivery of large-scale projects across the country,” it added further.

As per CBRE’s estimates, the Kingdom’s real estate sector is benefiting from this sustained investment environment, with multiple giga-projects, transport, tourism, and entertainment infrastructure projects, apart from other large-scale real estate developments, all progressing through various stages of execution.

“The momentum got reflected in another active quarter for construction and development procurement, with major contracts awarded across multiple sectors. Riyadh remained a key focus of investment activity, while Makkah, Madinah, the Eastern Province, and Aseer also recorded substantial project awards,” CBRE mentioned.

“Government-backed entities, including the National Housing Company (NHC), Diriyah Company, Expo 2030 Riyadh Company, and Rua Al Madinah Holding, continued to drive activity, reinforcing confidence in the Kingdom’s long-term growth strategy,” it stated further.

In the residential sector, transaction volumes have moderated, while price growth remained positive at a national level.

“However, the residential deal volumes across apartments, villas, and land plots declined 14% year-on-year, reaching more than 41,000 transactions, while transaction values fell 27% to nearly SAR38 billion,” CBRE Mena remarked.

Despite the fall in transaction values, the National Residential Price Index increased by 2.6% year-on-year, supported by the continued mismatch between user demand and land scarcity in key urban markets.

The Q1 also marked a significant milestone with the implementation of regulations under the “Law on Non-Saudi Ownership of Real Estate,” opening new opportunities for international investment within designated areas across the Kingdom.

“At the same time, major master-planned communities continue to expand housing supply, including the delivery of more than 5,500 homes at NHC’s Murcia development in Riyadh by the end of 2026. The office market has remained one of the Kingdom’s top-performing asset classes, particularly in Riyadh, where demand for Grade A office space continues to outpace available supply,” CBRE said.

“Demand continues to be driven by multinational corporations establishing operations under the Regional Headquarters (RHQ) program and by continued expansion across technology, healthcare, financial services, and consulting sectors. Riyadh’s office stock has surpassed six million sqm of gross leasable area (GLA), while occupancy rates across prime assets remain near capacity,” it stated.

Despite additional supply entering the market, competition for high-quality office space across the Kingdom’s key business districts continues to support rental growth and strong occupancy levels.

On the retail front, the sector momentum continues to be supported by rising consumer spending and growing demand for lifestyle-led experiences.

As per the Saudi Central Bank data, helped by a record 1.1 billion transactions, point-of-sale (POS) spending increased from SAR58.4 billion in April to SAR63.1 billion in May.

CBRE sees the trend driving the next wave of retail development, with approximately 400,000 sqm of new retail space scheduled for delivery by the 2026 end.

“Despite this expanding pipeline, market fundamentals remain healthy, with retail vacancy rates holding at around 6% and prime rents in leading super-regional malls stable at approximately SAR 3,275 per sqm,” it added further.

On the industrial and logistics market, the Kingdom’s “Vision 2030” diversification agenda has kept many sector players, including CBRE, in the green zone.

While the demand for modern warehousing and logistics space continues to increase, due to factors like manufacturing localization initiatives, growth in e-commerce activity and expanding transport infrastructure, the sector has also benefited from the ongoing investment into rail, ports and logistics corridors, that have in turn, have strengthened the Kingdom’s position as a regional trade and distribution hub. Rental growth across key industrial submarkets in Riyadh and Jeddah remained robust during Q2 2026, reflecting tight availability of high-quality logistics space.

Matthew Green, Head of Research at CBRE Mena, said, “What is increasingly evident across Saudi Arabia is the scale of execution taking place on the ground. From major infrastructure projects and commercial developments to new residential communities and tourism destinations, investment is increasingly translating into delivery.”

“Supported by a growing non-oil economy and progressive regulatory reforms, including the introduction of the new non-Saudi property ownership framework,” he noted.

“Saudi Arabia is continuing to strengthen its position as one of the most compelling real estate investment destinations globally. The market is now transitioning into a new phase, where delivery, occupancy, and investment performance are becoming just as important as the scale of the development pipeline,” Green concluded.

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