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Real estate to rebound as South Africa cuts interest rate, says industry leader

It marks a significant turnaround for South Africa’s economic outlook, off the back of the strengthening rand and six months of downward trending inflation that reached 4.4% in August

Yael Geffen, the Chief Executive Officer of Lew Geffen Sotheby’s International Realty, claims that the recent 25 basis-point reduction from the SARB (South Africa Reserve Bank) is the best news South African consumers, who are heavily indebted, have heard in four years.

“Until the announcement today, South Africa’s real rates had reached the highest level in 19 years, and consumers hadn’t seen a rate cut in four years. This benchmark rate cut to 8% is a small step in monetary terms, but a massive one in terms of positive business and consumer sentiment,” Geffen said, as reported by Zawya.

“It marks a significant turnaround for South Africa’s economic outlook, off the back of the strengthening rand (trading at R17.43 to the US$ at the time of the MPC’s announcement) and six months of downward trending inflation that reached 4.4% in August; falling below the South Africa Reserve Bank’s 4.5% target for the first time since April 2021,” Geffen added further.

According to Geffen, customers will notice the difference right away.

“On a bond of R2m, this cut means your repayment at prime will go down by more than R300 a month, and over the lending term of the mortgage, could save you more than R745,000. That’s a phenomenal amount of money on a cut of just 25 basis points. Since the MPC started hiking rates during the pandemic, homeowners with bonds of around R2m have had to find an extra R7,000 a month to service them, when in real terms, salaries have gone down,” she observed.

“Two-thirds of the average household spending right now, is going towards servicing debt. This cut isn’t massive, but consumers will feel the relief,” Geffen added.

According to Geffen, the rate reduction will undoubtedly give the real estate market a big boost.

“People have been waiting for this cut – either to step onto the property ladder, or to upgrade. Everyone was expecting the repo rate to go down in the second half of the year, and buyers have been waiting for it, because it makes a massive difference when you’re servicing a bond. I expect market activity to react almost instantly, and it bodes well for South Africa’s property sector for the remainder of the year, as well as brightening the outlook significantly for 2025,” she concluded.

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